Tag Archives: Nate Silver

Eating their own . . . again

Look what Sarah Palin and the Tea Party have wrought in thier primary victories. (per Nate Silver)

Delaware is a blue state, and the electoral prospects of Mr. Castle and Ms. O’Donnell there are wildly divergent. Whereas Mr. Castle is nearly a 95 percent favorite against the Democratic nominee, Chris Coons, according to last week’s FiveThirtyEight forecasting model, Ms. O’Donnell would have just a 17 percent chance of winning a  race against Mr. Coons.