Tag Archives: Hosni Mubarak

Ghandi would be proud

Those Egyptian protestors are remarkable people. The spark of anger following Mubarak’s speech has moderated itself. They seem to have pulled back from violence once again, as they gear up for the 18th day. Reader pino tells me he lived and worked in Egypt and isn’t optimistic.  But these are brave determined people, and my admiration for their restraint grows by the day.

Fingers crossed

If Mubarak survives the week, and the counter protest violence he’s unleashed escalates or even continues, Egypt’s moment could be lost.

And when the government is finally taken down, it will be replaced by something much more radical than would have been the case had he announced yesterday that he was stepping down.

Ego. The enemy of civilization.

Israel and Mubarak; still BFF

Following up on yesterday’s tantalizing suggestion from Al Jazeera that Israel might take in Mubarak, now here’s a story from Haaretz saying that Israel is urging the world to cool down the anti- Mubarak criticism. I can understand why Israel would be happier with Mubarak in power – it’s  preferable to Mubarak out of power. As commenter Alan noted a few days ago, Mubarak has contained the radicals in that country.

But the premise of the story just doesn’t ring true:  Israel can see the writing on the wall. They can’t possibly believe that toning down the rhetoric is going to keep Mubarak in charge. So it’s something else. Are they still planning to take him in?

UPDATE: Just listening to Richard Engle, one of the few reporters I trust. He’s saying a compromise is possible. He says it could be the Army taking over and pushing Mubarak out. And thru it all, the Brotherhood is gaining ground. It was Engle who said two days ago that theirs was not a big presence; he says it’s changing. He adds that if the wealthy start fleeing en masse, he thinks the Army will move in and take charge. They could rule for a while and hold elections or they could simply allow space for a government to step in. It is SO up in the air. He also says Brotherhood may be talking to the Army about being a reasonable player in this. So dynamic.

He adds “Whoever controls the mosques, the unions, the people who clean the streets – that is the grassroots and that is the place to watch.”

Is tomorrow the day?

Tomorrow, Egypt may see the biggest street marches yet. No matter the ‘if it bleeds it leads’ footage, there has been remarkably little actual violence (I’m not counting looting etc). New elements have joined the action – prisoners are out on the street (most of them political radicals, which in Egypt meant Islamists) and the Muslim Brotherhood is starting to show its head over the hedge. Combined,  they are still a small minority in the country, but are likely to be overrepresented in the crowds.

The police continue to mostly stand back and the Army hasn’t allowed itself to be pulled in so far. But the looting especially is getting out of hand and the police have said they’ll be resuming regular law enforcement duties now  but won’t be trying to block the protests.

The country – for all the noise – hasn’t imploded. El Baradai is ready to step in, as is the new VP.

I think Mubarak will leave tomorrow.